Série D Brazil Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 1-1
Caxias do Sul vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAX
6 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TUB
1 - 1
CAX
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 0
PEL
57%
25%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
CAX
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 0
MIR
19%
27%
53%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MIR
2 - 0
CAB
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 4
MIR
17%
26%
58%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MIR
5 - 2
CAS
56%
24%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |