Caxias do Sul vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAX
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAX
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
CRI
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +3 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAX
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAX
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 3
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |