Caxias do Sul vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 1
CAX
59%
22%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAX
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAX
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 3
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRI
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 4
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +3 |