Caxias do Sul vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAC
47%
25%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAX
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
CAX
37%
28%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CAX
1 - 0
MOG
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
MOG
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 2
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |