Caxias do Sul vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
0 - 1
CAX
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
CAX
2 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
RES
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 2
PEL
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 1
CAX
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
MOG
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MAD
0 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
GUA
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |