Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAX
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 0
CRA
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 1
CAX
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAX
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRÊ
3 - 2
DUQ
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
4 - 0
GRÊ
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
MOG
18%
26%
56%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
3 - 3
GRÊ
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |