Caxias do Sul vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
POR
4 - 5
CAX
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 2
CAX
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CAX
1 - 1
ISM
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 1
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAX
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 2
ECS
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 2
CAN
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 2
ISM
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
4 - 0
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |