Caxias do Sul vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 2
CAX
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
MAC
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OES
1 - 0
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
DUQ
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |