Caxias do Sul vs Ceramica AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SLU
2 - 1
CAX
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 1
ECS
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
ECS
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 2
SCI
21%
27%
53%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SLU
1 - 1
CAX
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ceramica AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SLU
1 - 0
CAC
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAC
2 - 0
JUV
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CAC
0 - 0
CAN
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ECS
0 - 0
CAC
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CAC
0 - 1
SLU
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |