Caxias do Sul vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
CAX
4 - 2
AIM
73%
19%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VER
2 - 2
CAX
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
CAX
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 2
LUV
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 0
CAX
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRU
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
BRA
85%
12%
3%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
SCI
9%
19%
73%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 2
BRA
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAO
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |