Caxias do Sul vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
15.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAX
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAX
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAX
4 - 2
ISM
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
VER
2 - 1
CAX
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECS
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
4 - 1
BRA
58%
21%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 0
CON
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
BRA
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |