CFU Championship Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Cavaly vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 1
ASS
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
CAV
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 1
CAV
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CAV
5 - 0
BRI
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAV
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
CAV
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CON
12 - 1
BES
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
BES
0 - 5
CON
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |