Cavalry vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
6º
1º
38
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 1
CAV
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 1
VAN
71%
20%
9%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
CAV
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 0
ATO
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
YOR
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 1
ATO
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
YOR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
YOR
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |