Cavalry vs Vancouver FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
6º
3º
27
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 51 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
68% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
62.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
19% | 3.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAV
0 - 0
PAC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
VAN
80%
14%
7%
|
72 | 21 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 1
CAV
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAV
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ORL
3 - 1
CAV
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 0
VAN
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 62 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
VAN
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 72 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 0
HFX
22%
25%
54%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
4 - 1
VAL
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 62 | 44 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
YOR
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |