Cavalry vs Vancouver FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
6º
1º
29
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
CAV
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 0
ATO
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 2
HFX
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 1
CAV
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 9 | 60 | +1 |
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 6
PAC
14%
24%
63%
|
10 | 70 | 60 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
VAL
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 64 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
VAN
74%
19%
8%
|
9 | 74 | 65 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 5
ATO
10%
19%
71%
|
9 | 67 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 1
CAV
12%
21%
67%
|
9 | 69 | 60 | 0 |