Cavalry vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
28
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
1 - 2
CAV
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 2
CAV
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
CAV
21%
26%
54%
|
74 | 31 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
VAN
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
HFX
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
YOR
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 3
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |