Cavalry vs Pacific analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
6º
3º
28
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 51 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
68% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
62.5% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
19% | 71% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
VAN
80%
14%
7%
|
72 | 21 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 1
CAV
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAV
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ORL
3 - 1
CAV
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
CAV
0 - 3
ORL
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 0
HFX
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HFX
0 - 1
PAC
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
YOR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |