Canadian Championship Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Cavalry vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HFX
0 - 0
CAV
25%
29%
47%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
CAV
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAV
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
VAN
1 - 2
CAV
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 0
YOR
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CFS
3 - 2
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
CAV
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
COR
6 - 3
MON
28%
25%
46%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MON
4 - 0
PHU
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
YOR
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |