Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
6º
1º
42
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 2
ATO
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 2
CAV
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAV
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
YOR
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 1
CAV
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
PAC
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
HFX
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 12 | 51 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
FOR
26%
28%
47%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 1
CAV
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |