Cavalry vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
6º
4º
41
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 48 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 34 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
18% | 83.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
29% | 13.5% |
|
Next round
|
53% | 3% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 2
YOR
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAV
24%
26%
49%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 0
CAV
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
ATO
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 0
CAV
20%
25%
56%
|
73 | 25 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAC
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
TOR
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 3
VAN
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 27 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
4 - 3
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |