Cavalry vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
44
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAV
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
1 - 2
CAV
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
ATO
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 0
VAN
71%
18%
10%
|
74 | 34 | 40 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 1
ATO
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 3
ATO
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
ATO
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |