Cavalry vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
6º
3º
40
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 51 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 29 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
30% | 67% |
|
Play-offs
|
51% | 29% |
|
Next round
|
19% | 4% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 0
CAV
20%
25%
56%
|
73 | 25 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
FOR
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAV
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
CAV
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 2
YOR
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 2
ATO
23%
26%
52%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 2
HFX
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 1
ATO
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ATO
3 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |