Cavalier vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
7º
2º
40
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 3
CAV
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CAV
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
MPA
2 - 1
CAV
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 0
HAR
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 1
CAV
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 3
WAT
16%
23%
62%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
WAT
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 0
LIO
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
WAT
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |