Cavalier vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
23.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TRI
3 - 1
CAV
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CAV
2 - 1
SSC
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
CAV
0 - 0
MON
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 0
CAV
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 0
POR
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 3
HAR
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
REN
0 - 0
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
WAT
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
UWI
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
SSC
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |