Cavalier vs Molynes United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
4º
23
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
6% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
91% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
RUF
1 - 0
CAV
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 11 | 60 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 0
CAV
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 1
VER
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAV
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
MPA
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Molynes United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MPA
4 - 0
MOL
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 1
RUF
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 2
MOL
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 3
WAT
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
MOL
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |