Cavalier vs Chapelton Maroons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
20%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
11º
2º
9
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
VER
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 1
CAV
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 2
CAV
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 1
WAT
54%
26%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chapelton Maroons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
CMF
2 - 0
TRI
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 0
CMF
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 1
FSC
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
0 - 0
CMF
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 3
MPA
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |