Cavalier vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
4º
45
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
6% | 81.5% |
|
Next round
|
91% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
MPA
3 - 0
CAV
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CAV
1 - 1
RUF
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DFC
0 - 2
CAV
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CAV
2 - 2
WAT
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
CAV
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
0 - 0
MOL
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MPA
2 - 0
ARN
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RUF
0 - 2
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
CMF
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |