Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 7-2
Caudal Deportivo vs San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
AVI
1 - 1
CAU
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
COM
2 - 1
CAU
62%
23%
15%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CAU
0 - 0
DEP
66%
22%
13%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
LUG
2 - 1
CAU
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CAU
1 - 1
SIE
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
LEN
2 - 0
SMA
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
SMA
1 - 3
ARO
47%
27%
27%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ROB
3 - 0
SMA
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
SMA
1 - 3
CLU
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
PON
2 - 3
SMA
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |