Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-2
Caudal Deportivo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
CAU
2 - 0
SLA
57%
21%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAU
49%
22%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
CAU
5 - 1
LOG
60%
20%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
UES
1 - 1
CAU
63%
17%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
CAU
2 - 1
OVI
52%
22%
25%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
SAB
1 - 1
AVI
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
AVI
2 - 0
CDC
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
SLA
2 - 0
AVI
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
AVI
0 - 0
ROB
87%
8%
5%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
POP
3 - 3
AVI
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |