Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
Caudal Deportivo vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAU
46%
27%
28%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
PRA
0 - 2
CAU
39%
31%
30%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
CAU
6 - 0
ADB
77%
17%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
PIL
0 - 1
CAU
34%
30%
36%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CAU
1 - 0
PCF
64%
23%
14%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAU
46%
27%
28%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
RIB
0 - 3
MAR
45%
28%
27%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 1
UNI
63%
22%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
CAN
2 - 2
MAR
47%
28%
26%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
MAR
2 - 1
TUR
56%
24%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |