Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Caudal Deportivo vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAU
0 - 1
ZAM
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LEG
2 - 1
CAU
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CAU
2 - 1
AVI
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 0
CDO
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
RVB
0 - 3
CAU
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
CPC
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UCA
2 - 2
CAR
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BET
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
24%
28%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAN
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |