Caucaia EC vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
5 - 0
CAU
92%
7%
2%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 2
FER
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
CAU
40%
23%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
CAU
2 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
IGU
4 - 1
CAU
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 1
UNI
20%
22%
59%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 2
HOR
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 3
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
HOR
90%
9%
2%
|
39 | 90 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ICA
1 - 2
HOR
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |