Cearense 1 Final
Global 0-4
Caucaia EC vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
74.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
CAU
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 0
IGU
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAU
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
IGU
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAU
5 - 2
UNI
44%
23%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 0
VIT
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
CUI
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |