Catuense vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
75.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 3
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 0
GAL
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 0
CAT
89%
9%
3%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 5
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
90%
8%
3%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SDJ
1 - 2
VIT
9%
18%
73%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
CEA
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |