Catuense vs Juazeiro BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 0
BAH
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SER
2 - 2
CAT
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
SER
50%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 0
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Juazeiro BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
JUA
0 - 1
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 0
JUA
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 0
JUA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
JUA
1 - 0
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
JUA
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | +1 |