Catuense vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
4 - 0
FEI
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 2
CAT
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
4 - 2
JUA
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 0
BAH
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 2
SDJ
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 2
BAH
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 2
VIT
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |