Cattolica vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cattolica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAT
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
CHI
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
MON
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
REC
1 - 1
CAT
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 1
OLY
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 2
MAT
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
3 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASD
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SEL
2 - 1
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
PIN
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |