Catro Roldas vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+162%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catro Roldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
CAT
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 3
CAT
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
CAT
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 1
CEL
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAT
2 - 0
FRI
77%
14%
10%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
FRI
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 1
COM
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
CAT
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FRI
0 - 4
COM
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
COM
1 - 0
CEL
79%
13%
9%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |