Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-4
Catarroja CF vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catarroja CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
UDC
0 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 1
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
ALC
4 - 2
CAT
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
CRE
2 - 3
CAT
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIN
62%
22%
17%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
ALC
1 - 0
ONT
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
ALC
4 - 2
CAT
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
ALC
1 - 2
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
DEN
3 - 0
ALC
65%
22%
14%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |