Catania vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
CAT
2 - 3
VER
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASC
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAT
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
INT
6 - 0
CAT
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
VIR
1 - 0
CAM
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
VER
5 - 0
VIR
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
74%
15%
12%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |