Catania vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
30.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
63%
26%
11%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
TER
0 - 1
CAT
71%
21%
8%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
42%
32%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
SSS
2 - 0
CAT
55%
29%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 1
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1976 |
VIC
0 - 0
PIA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
PES
1 - 0
VIC
42%
30%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 1
BRI
77%
17%
6%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
GEN
2 - 2
VIC
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 1
SSS
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |