Catania vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
NAP
3 - 0
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
BRE
4 - 1
CAT
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
42%
22%
37%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
CAT
4 - 0
BOL
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
INT
5 - 1
CAT
81%
13%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
VIC
1 - 1
INT
16%
24%
60%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
VIC
1 - 1
ROM
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
VIC
2 - 0
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
JUV
3 - 1
VIC
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VIC
2 - 1
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |