Catania vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 1
FIO
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
BOL
1 - 2
CAT
74%
16%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
JUV
4 - 1
CAT
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
CAT
3 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 0
LEC
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
UDI
1 - 0
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAD
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
INT
5 - 0
VIC
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
VIC
1 - 1
SAM
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
BOL
1 - 1
VIC
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |