Catania vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAT
50%
29%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
CAT
3 - 3
TAR
62%
25%
13%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
CAT
1 - 4
GEN
42%
31%
27%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
PES
1 - 1
CAT
57%
26%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAT
54%
27%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
TRI
3 - 1
EMP
58%
26%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
TRI
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
TRI
0 - 0
PIS
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 1
TRI
29%
31%
40%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |