Catania vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
PRO
2 - 3
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
CAT
4 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAT
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
PAL
3 - 2
TRI
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
JUV
4 - 3
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
TRI
2 - 0
SPA
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
PAL
2 - 1
TRI
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |