Catania vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
26.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAT
51%
29%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
FCC
39%
33%
28%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAT
70%
22%
9%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
PES
1 - 1
CAT
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVE
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
USF
0 - 0
BRE
61%
25%
14%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 0
USF
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
USF
0 - 2
GEN
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
USF
48%
30%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
USF
2 - 1
FCC
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |