Catania vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAV
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 2
UDI
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
CAT
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 4
INT
14%
22%
65%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
TRI
56%
27%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
USC
3 - 0
REG
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
JUV
2 - 0
USC
83%
13%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
USC
4 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
LEC
0 - 1
USC
60%
22%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |