Catania vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAT
48%
32%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
CAT
1 - 1
LAZ
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
CAT
2 - 0
ASS
69%
22%
10%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAT
66%
23%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
USC
0 - 0
VAR
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 0
USC
64%
23%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
USC
2 - 2
CAV
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
BAR
0 - 1
USC
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
USC
0 - 0
PIS
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |