Catania vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TRI
0 - 0
CAT
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
CAT
1 - 1
FIO
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
NAP
2 - 3
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CAT
0 - 3
LIV
32%
27%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 3
CAG
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 0
AVE
72%
19%
9%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 2
PES
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 1
GEN
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |