Catania vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
VNZ
3 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ACM
1 - 4
CAT
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 2
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
PAL
3 - 3
CAT
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
CAT
2 - 0
MES
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
USA
2 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
MOD
2 - 3
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
USA
4 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
MOD
4 - 1
USA
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
USA
4 - 1
TAR
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |